Sunday, January 07, 2007

WHY SLOVENIA WILL NEVER BE LIKE SWITZERLAND

We have written very much about this particular question. One of the main features of small and open economies is that they adjust to real competitive advantages much faster than big economies are capable to do. But if there is a strong presence of anti-growth mentality, the desire for progress towards innovative economy could be a big barrier to potential economic story of success. Many Slovenes instinctly observe their country proudly as "The Switzerland of Eastern Europe." This is an untruthful saying and in this chapter we shall see why this particular remark is not valid.

First, there is a perception of economic freedom. For decades, Switzerland has been ranked among the freest economies in the world. One of the most positive value leaps that made Switzerland an economic miracle has been the presence of tax competition among cantons. The lowest corporate tax rates in the world attracted numerous multinational companies which set their holdings there. Economic freedom in Switzerland has been championed through low rate of government intervention. According to the EIU, the government consumed 12 percent of the GDP in 2004. In Slovenia, it triggered its consumption to 19,8 percent (U.S. Embassy in Slovenia, 2004). Swiss business environment has always been accompanied by one of the highest levels of economic freedom in the region as well as in the world. According to the Index of Economic Freedom, since 1999, Switzerland's economic freedom never scored below 2.00. In Slovenia, the level of economic freedom has been awful. Mostly unfree business environment's been accompanied by trade protectionism which was constantly exercised through unsterilized exchange rate variations, a robust and discretionairy monetary policy which seemed more like an industrial policy since exporting companies were heavily favoured at the expense of importing companies. Monetary stabilization lagged behind the very much needed pace. Hyperinflation pressures and negative interest rates inherited from Yugoslavia vastly increased public debt because crediting was financed through new loans which will have to be repaid in the future. The absence of competition on the banking market made the whole situation even worse. We cannot imagine prosperous economic environment without friendly framework for foreign investors. Inexplicitly noted property rights and politically-driven process of privatization and denationalizen deprived Slovenia from the flow of foreign direct investment. De Broeck and Stock (2001) reported that the liberalization of capital flows in Slovenia was, after Hungary, the lowest rated among the most successful transition countries. This was signficantly led through high rate of insider's penetration on the capital market. Sailing far away from economic freedom, Slovenian policymakers deprived potential foreign investors from the process of privatization. Instant care for "nationally profiled ownership" has been pioneered through the lack of the rule of law. In contrast, according The Fraser Institute's Economic Freedom of the World, Switzerland was constantly placed among top 5 economies in which economic freedom has been advanced through the the confidence in the legal system, contract enforcement and efficiently solid protection of private property rights. Now let's take a closer look at how economic freedom and performance varies between Slovenia and Switzerland. Slovenia has, according to the reference cited above, the most extensive size of government. This inevitably drives back its economic potentials since Robert J. Barro estimated that the reduction of public sector by 10 percent accelerates economic growth by 2 to 2.8 percent. In the field of legal structure and property rights, Switzerland peaked 10th place while Slovenia miserably achieved 45th place. In Switzerland, banking and financial competition ensures sufficient access to sound money while in Slovenia, state-dominated banking sector suffers from the lack of competition and thus makes the access to sound money even heavier. In Slovenia, freedom to trade internationally is very limited. For example, businesses are required to obtain 9 documents for export the cost of which equal $1,070 USD per container while it takes 20 days to accomplish the export. In Switzerland, only 4 documents are needed for export. Deregulated credit, labor and business conditions enable individuals and investors to pursue their plans and productive agenda much easier than in Slovenia where the regulation of those conditions hurts economic growth and threatens the process of real convergence achieved through economic growth and structural advancement.

The creation of institutional power in the hands of those politically priviliged few, persents the biggest obstacles to businesses and individuals who want to pursue their own goals. Switzerland and Slovenia are contrasting the profile of success. If you're an inspired future high-tech enterpreneur you will, as first, have to tackle enormous institutional concentration of power. This chiefly gives support to rent-seeking instead of paying attention to market rules of the game. There is also a strong failure of the education system. Not teaching individuals how productive behavior is important to ensure future progress and structural advancement, means a road to relative stagnation in the long run. According to GEM, Slovenia has the lowest proportion of those adults who want to tackle the challenge and become inspiring entrepreneurs. Only 4,4 percent of fresh entrepreneurial participation presents the lowest rate among advanced countries. It's not just the problem of the government, it's also the problem of individuals as Ziga Metelko says.

In this brief survey I tried to explain through data why Slovenia is not Switzerland as many Slovenes wrongly think. If Slovenia really wants to revise the economic miracle through which Switzerland became the Alpine tiger, it should first finish the process of privatization. Too much power is concentrated in the hands of the government. Thus, the promotion of free-market thinking is the surest way to the reduction of political power. Second, structural reforms in education sector are vastly needed to promote innovations and the improvement of research and knowledge through which the cooperation between scientific sector and the economy will result in higher economic growth. Then there's of course a capital market which needs to be privatized immediately. The role of para-governmental funds needs to be diminished. It would be the worst option if those funds were chiefly chosen to be in the position of guiding an economic policy. To improve competitiveness, foreign direct investment must pour into the market after which job creation will be higher. At last but not least, the people in Slovenia should start to become aware of competitive free enterprise exchange system and its potentials to prosper in the future and become richer. Discretionairy power of public institutions should be strongly limited while free-market institutions and non-interventionist economic policy in accordance with rules, are the surest foundations of future prosperity. It's neither government neither polticial parties, eurocrats or bureaucrats who assures the progress, prosperous and ambitious individuals do.

I would like to end this post in the words of Benjamin Franklin: "Those who would sacrifice liberty for security deserve neither."

Reference:

Rok Spruk; Slovenia 2006: How the Country Wasted the Opportunities of the Century, Capitalism & Freedom, December 2006
http://rspruk.blogspot.com/2006/12/slovenia-2006-how-country-wasted.html

Rok Spruk; Tax Competition is What Made Switzerland an Economic Miracle, Capitalism & Freedom, 2006
http://rspruk.blogspot.com/2006/12/tax-competition-is-what-made.html

The Index of Economic Freedom, Heritage Foundation, 2006
http://index.heritage.org

Rado Pezdir; Strukturni dejavniki odlocanja ravnoteznega realnega deviznega tecaja tranzicijskih drzav na poti v ERM2, Ljubljana, 2004
http://www.cek.ef.uni-lj.si/magister/pezdir405.pdf

Mark De Broeck, Torsten Slok; Interpreting Real Exchange Movements in Transition Countries, IMF Washington, 2001
http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=276074

Fraser Institute; The Economic Freedom of the World, Fraser Institute, 2006
http://www.freetheworld.com/2006/1EFW2006ch1.pdf

Ziga Metelko; Podjetnistvo na kvadrat (Squarred Enterpreneurship), Finance, 1/6/07
http://www.finance-on.net/?MOD=show&id=171978 (online subscription required)

Lars P. Feldt, Emmanuelle Reulier; Strategic Tax Competition in Switzerland: Evidence from a Panel of the Swiss Cantons, CESifo Working Paper Series No. 1516
http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=796704

Wednesday, January 03, 2007

INCONVINIENT KYOTO ACCORD

Mario Lewis of the Competitive Enterprise Institute perfectly points out the common misunderstanding of Kyoto accord, the aim of which is to limit further gas emission in the future. Kyoto accord actually proposes only one way to cut carbon dioxide emissions in the future and that way is very similar to what happened in former Soviet Union and Eastern Europe - economic collapse. U.S. Energy Information Administration projects global energy consumption will rise by 71 percent between 2003 and 2030, with three-quarters of that growth in developing countries. Fossil fuels account for the lion's share of the increase in consumption. Kyoto accord is on track to push gasoline prices to record highs. Increasingly growing prices on various energy would inflict a bulk of hardship on all income earners. Many European consumers pay twice as much for gasoline, due to high motor fuel taxes. Yet, despite higher fuel prices, European Union transport sector CO2 emissions increased almost 26 percent during 1990-2004 and are projected under current policies to be 35 percent above 1990 levels in 2010. To say in a more radical manner, Kyoto accord is nothing else but a platform for giving energy diet to starving population. Until increasingly growing economies do not restrict CO2 emissions, the control of atmospheric carbon dioxide levels is impossible.

THE POLITICAL ECONOMY OF CAPITALISM

Bruce J. Scott of Harvard Business School has written an extensive paper which deals with the relative connection between political authority and economic markets on a larger basis. We often hear confused reactions to political engagement in economic markets, particulary in Central and Eastern Europe where economies are still facing the process of long-term convergence to market economy. Institutional misstepping is the core which disables the net economic progress in the region. There is also a lack of economic education because people who are less aware of the nature of economic problems and methods how to solve them, are mostly in favor of marching on the streets against globalization, economic change, structural reforms and future prosperity. It would be improper if we said that capitalism is definitely not a political system. It is a mixture of economic and political system. Markets cannot exist without institutional foundation whose mission is to protect property rights efficiently. In fact, it's the government who imposes laws that guide trade and production. In general, government has two modes of state intervention, direct and indirect. The direct mode is essential for the operation of capitalist system while indirect mode is mostly seen through the ownership of public utilities and other public enterprises. Good and bad governments are usually marked according to its roles, wheater if be administrative or innovative. Both options are inevitable though capitalism doesn't need too much administrative pressure from the government. Why? Because markets will suffer and economic potentials will be damaged. Therefore, the capitalism itself has two hands - one hand is an invisible hand of price mechanism which coordinates economic actors in a spaceful framework. And the second hand can thankfully be reduced. It's hand of the government, administrative and innovative. Market frameworks definitely need to be modernized to let the progress through the economy grow. But it would be highly inappropriate for the government to intervene markets, directly or indirectly. The surest way for progressive path in the future is to intervene the legislation and thus let individuals and free enterprise system to do its job.

I recommend this paper to anyone who wants to study economics as well as to those who want to understand line between economic markets and political authority. Of course, you cannot learn the capitalism but you have to understand how it works if you want to be fully aware of the importance of structural reforms and economic change. We have never before met greater need for being aware of how important structural change, economic reforms and higher economic growth are.

MEASURING THE EFFECTS OF WAL-MART

Recently announced global news and business analysis about the effects of Wal-Mart are quite mixed. For example, the company decided to shift its market activities from Europe to high growing and far more upward-yielding markets in East Asia. Wal Mart's retreat from Germany was reasonable. German business culture and ethics did not sustain Wal Mart's so far rapidly successful strategic approach. All of his retail centers have been aquired by the largest German retailer Metro AG's Real Division. Perhaps the most tragic story in this particular situation is that Marxists are now wordfully saying that Wal Mart is facing tackling a battle between "labor" and "capital". Well, we're not in the 19th century anymore to boost such misstepped non-sense and Marxist worshippers should take that into account seriously. So far the most realistic and rational analysis about Wal Mart's global ventures has been pinned by Ken A. Mark and Pankaj Ghemawat, a professor at Harvard Business School. He tells that "there is hard evidence that Wal-Mart has grown the economic pie available to be divided among its various stakeholders."

Marxist worshippers and social activists took a full-blown stance when they have started to stress how the world's largest retail company is primarily treating its workers. Overt criticism has been underpinned by Anthony Bianco's The Bully of Bentonville: How the High Cost of Wal-Mart's Everyday Low Prices is Hurting America. Even balanced and cooly tended books raise questions about the real economic impact of Wal Mart, saying that it destoryed more jobs in 2005 than it created. How is then "mixed economic impact" translated into action?

Anykind of questioning whether Wal-Mart's overall economic impact has been positive or negative reflects a failure to engage properly with the data. There is an evidence that Wal Mart has grown into economic pie which has been divided to its stakeholders. McKinsey Global Institute's study specifically examined the U.S. labor productivity growth between 1995 and 2000. Robert Solow, Nobel laureate in economics and the advisor to the study, told that "by far the most important factor in that growth is Wal-Mart." The company indeed has some issues to tackle in the future but it seems highly inappropriate to label Wal Mart as a kind of devastating impact for workers, because of those issues. If I managed a company and if there were no issues to challenge in the future, then I would be truly concerned. The value which has been created by Wal Mart benefited the pockets of consumers. It brought them low-prices and an opportunity to penetrate a large volume of free choice in the market. According to Global Insight, Wal Mart's prices are approximately 8 percent lower than the prices of its competitors. Applying the price gap to domestic sales volumes of Wal Mart, then U.S. consumers on the order save $14 billion per year. Low Wal Mart's prices force its competitor to charge lower price, so this is only a fraction of company's real economic impact. This particular kinds of savings outscored costs which Wal Mart allegedly imposed on the society. The savings to Wal Mart costumers appear large in the relation to the surplus that it passes on to its stakeholders. In recent years, the retailer netted just 1,5 to 2 percent of its revenues as an income to its shareholders compared with 8-plus percent for its customers.

Charles Fishman, in The Wal Mart Effect, sets up another issue when he says that a giant boa is squeezing the life of capitalism to sheer market dominance. This statement is a little bit ovre the edge. Wal Mart accounts less than 10 percent of total non-automotive retail sales in the U.S. and its rate of market growth has varied significantly. In recent years, Wal Mart's growth temporarily cooled due to a large imposition of cost elements such as healthcare insurance and pressures on stock prices. Historical features suggest that successful new retailing formats provoke rigiorous reactions, wheater it be in market or non-market sector.

The arguments stressed above suggest that Wal Mart is very far from a conflict between "capital" and "labor" as far-fetched Marxist worshippers try to propagate. In fact, Wal-Mart has brought an extensive panel of benefits which no welfare program has never had. U.S. legislation thankfully favors consumers. The to the question if Wal-Mart supply strategy is good heavily depends on the identity of the consumers who benefited from low prices. Without Wal-Mart, the rural poor in particular would pay several percentage points more for the food and nonfood merchandise that, after housing, is their second-largest household expense.

Tuesday, January 02, 2007

CAPITALISM & FREEDOM 11TH MOST POPULAR BLOG IN THE WORLD

Our success story is not over. I recently searched the web and found out that our blog is highly rated also in North America. The visitors of the website placed our blog in the 11th place in the world. Click here and see the rankings.

CAPITALISM & FREEDOM AMONG TOP 100 BLOGS IN FREE-MARKET ECONOMICS

Blogs in this category discuss concepts of free-market economics, an economic model where market participants are free from coercive influence or government interference. Our blog has won 16th place. We hope we deserve it. At this moment I would once again say gratefully 'thank you' to our visitors and viewers. By visiting our blog, you enrich our mission more than everything.

Thursday, December 28, 2006

TAX COMPETITION IS WHAT MADE SWITZERLAND AN ECONOMIC MIRACLE

SwissInfo reports that the center-left government of social democrats is heading a campaign to end "unfair tax competition" as several cantons recently introduced lower tax rates on corporate income. These cantons enjoy the lowest corporate tax rates in the world. Subsequently, they attracted numerous multinational companies to set up their holdings there. As a result, the formation of human and investment capital soared up.

An attempt to pursue the policy of tax increases is a way to lower economic growth and output in the future. On the other side, pro-growth tax policy and the ability of cantons to set individual and corporate tax rates, raises personal and corporate incomes as tax burden reduces and competitiveness increases. It is highly unlikely for a political party to strognly support the policy which clearly undermines Switzerland's long-term competitiveness in the global economy.

FLAT TAX IS A BENEFIT FOR CZECH REPUBLIC

A newly-formed coalition of center-right political parties in Czech Republic is going in the right direction since it wants to introduce a 17-19 percent flat on both individual and corporate income. The pursuit of a single flat tax would also apply to the VAT but there are particular accomodation services and food to be applied to lower tax rate. Currently, there are four income tax levels, ranging from 12 to 32 percent, while businesses are now taxed at 24 percent corporate tax rate.

I warmly welcome efforts made by Czech policymakers as they want to pursue fighting against tax cartels. Further lowering of individual and corporate tax rates will stimulate the economy to grow faster as well as a number of jobs will soar if the flat tax comes into action. A single, low and applied flat tax will furtherly help to increase the level of the international competitiveness of the Czech Republic. Fair and transparent tax code is the best way to dynamize the labor market and productive behavior based upon the convergence of the productivity. Making business environment friendly, is a great step ahead of the global competition. The flat-tax will enhence those changes and set a solid grounding to further growth of capital formation. As a liberal economist, I write to express my support to the proposal of flat tax in Czech Republic.

SLOVENIA 2006 - HOW THE COUNTRY WASTED OPPORTUNITIES OF THE CENTURY

Slovenia is a small country. But despite being small, its economic potentials are astonishing. Throughout the period of economic transition to free market economy, the government never imposed radical structural reforms that would boost the economic growth of this small country. Far away from liberal economic policy, the government rather chose the gradual model of economic change which is now paying its price. In the beginning of transition, Slovenia emerged as the richest former communist country. Being the richest one in the group of ex-communist countries, did not give economic policymakers very much needed engine to become richer and to become the leading innovator in Eastern Europe. After the country won the independence struggle, a bulk of serious problems remained in action. Slovenia inherited hyperinflation from Yugoslavia. The policy of exchange rate depreciation embroiled a highly questionable monetary policy of the central bank. In fact, discretionairy exchange rate regime had become a tool in making decisions of how to guide the economic policy. As a result of this practice, the inflation bubbled rapidly as monetary emissions measured as the increase of monetary aggregates. According to the Index of Economic Freedom, the presence of economic freedom itself in Slovenia has constantly been the lowest among the economies in transition. However, new center-right government pledged to start rapid privatization, deregulation and liberalization. It promised to impose structural reforms in order to let the economy grow and international competitiveness rise. It set bright promises but those shining commitments turned into dismal performance. According to IMD, Slovenia has advanced from 52th up to 45th place on the scale of competitiveness but the most striking information is that in the field of government policy, Slovenia stuck at the same rank. World Economic Forum published Global Competitiveness Report on an annual basis. According to the referrence, Slovenia's level of competitiveness declined. 33rd place is not a flattering position.

Now let's take a closer look where Slovenia actually wasted "golden opportunities"

Labor market reform has been Slovenia's worst tragedy ever since. Post-communist trade unions enjoy a vast political support. Throught the convergence period, they were the main drivers of economic policy. They vastly oppose labor market liberalization in order to make it more flexible. Empirical studies show that liberal labor code and flexible labor market enhence economic growth while also the level of productivity goes up. Productivity itself requires openness. In Slovenia, labor costs per capita are growing enormously. Tax burden measured as a percentage of the GDP, is getting close to 40 percent. Progressive (communist) tax rates on individual incomes are still high though government changed the progressivity of tax rates only for a little bit. Since labor costs are high, employers hardly employ highly-skilled and productive individuals. Coupled with competitive businesses, they are the main component of technologically-innovative economy. In Slovenia, labor market was never radically reformed. Data show that the inudstrial restructuring of the state-owned companies in the beginning of the 90s, took the slowest pace eventually possible. Pension reform was catastrophic. The indexation of pensions with the growth of wages will leave terrible impact on the stability public finance. It is expected to see public debt growing and budget deficit continuing to slope down. The privatization of the state economy accelerated but it took its blown with a minimum degree of transparency through which the government consolidated its position in the economy. The privatization of the largest state-owned companies seems like a never-ending story. Public companies are being sold to politically priviliged. Government's role in the economy extends through a wide range of area, from services to media. Putting all this together, the international competitiveness of the public companies is low as well as value-added is low. In order to get on track, the companies need to be sold to the best possible buyer regardless of his nationality. A strong infusion of foreign direct investment could help to raise the level of the productivity of the firms as well as it would create numerous opportunities for unemployed. In 2006, Slovenian students valantly opposed education reforms. They opposed more private education institutions and they also heavily resisted on cutting some politically given benefits through which bureaucrats from student organization (SOS) exercised the role of rent-seeking actors at the expense of taxpayers. There is none Slovenian university among top 500 in the world. Perhaps the most tragically obscured political shame in this year has been the lack of the liberalization in the financial sector. Banking sector, particulary the unavailibility of the investment capital to venture entrepreneurs, is one the main degressors of economic growth and competitive entrepreneurial development. State-owned banking and insurance control approximately 50 percent of the banking sector assets. KBC, Beligian insurance and banking company, was a saving partner for the Nova Ljubljanska Banka, but political pressures once again showed aggression and hostility towards foreign investors. Only one-third of Slovenia's banking assets are private and that the state effectively directs the three largest banks. Moreover, the government effectively controls 50 percent of total banking assets. On the other side, the protection of private property rights in Slovenia has been constantly low, judiciary has emerged as a strongly influential political group which exercies its role through rent-seeking. It has also vastly opposed setting wages in accordance with efficiency, productivity and with the number of cases effectively resolved. The difficulty of commerical contract enforcement is heavy. The difficulty involves 25 procedures, 1350 days and 15,2 percent of the total debt following the evolution of payment dispute. Capital market is marred by insider trading with information. The Slovenian court system is marred by inadequate staffing and slow procedural progress and is in need of further reform. Slovenia wasted a bulk of opportunities in 2006. Perhaps the greatest opportunity ever offered was the flat-tax proposal. It couldn't be found more progressive step forward than the simplification of the tax system. Flat-tax would give companies a stimultaneous track to increase profits and capital gains in order to reform companies' structure throughout the convergence towards technologically-advanced economy based upon innovation, value-added and the growth of total factor productivity.

Year 2006 has also been marred by political shame in Slovenia. The crime rate exercised through illegal methods on capital markets did not reduce. The legislation , the aim of which is to prevent capital crimes to happen, is still very inexplicit. The judiciary doesn't exercise its role of punishing illegal capital transactions and payment. It also heavily protects companies whcih collapsed primarily due to dusty management. It is sad to see how such politically influential "transition businessmen" are heavily protected from very much deserved sanctions. There is no politician in Slovenia who would be willing to investigate such crimes.

From the perspective of an economist, all Slovenian politicians as well as political parties behave like socialists. In fact, politicians cannot be as much trusted as they are in Finland, example. In Slovenia, every politician has exercised its role through the participation in sections of communist political party, i.e. the party whose origin is totalitarian. I regret the fact that Slovenia did not expell communist members from public institutions. Everyone would benefit from this.

I wish a Happy New Year to the visitors of my blog and I wish them successful efforts in 2007 and also lots of happiness and personal satisfaction.

Tuesday, December 26, 2006

INTERVIEW WITH RAIN LAANE OF MICROSOFT ESTONIA

Rain Laane, a 32 year country manager of Microsoft in Estonia shortly points out why intellectual property rights are oftenly violated:

"Intellectual property rights (IPR) is a hot topic. Recent IDC studies show that the piracy rate in Estonia is 54%. It has gone down one per cent so the trend is right but there is a long way to go. The figure for the United States is 21% and the European Union average is 35-36%. It will take a minimum of ten or more years to catch up to that number in Estonia. I believe that the biggest challenge and the main reason why the piracy rate is so high is lack of education. People don’t know which licenses and where they have to use, how many copies they can use, can they borrow software from a friend or is it illegal. These are topics that all of society wishes we should talk more about. I’m always comparing this with driving cars. Companies that provide gasoline are also wealthy but when people go to the gas station to fill up the tank they pay for it. With software, music and video they think differently. Why? I believe it is an educational problem."

In the interview, Mr. Laane emphasizes ambitious agenda of Microsoft's competitve strategy in Estonia as well as he explains the nature of corporate operations in making future projects come true.

CAPITALISM & FREEDOM HAS WON A PRESTIGIOUS INTERNATIONAL AWARD

The Honor View's January Site Ranking shows that our website has been given 2nd place, which means the second most progressively rated blog in Europe.

In the future, we will furtherly be giving the best of our ability to pursue dynamic posts with upbeating topics, challenging views and highly important issues regarding free market, economic policy, business, management, economic freedom and prosperity, and, above all - individual liberty.

THANK YOU!

LOW TAX EFFICIENCY AND SUCCESS IN IRELAND

“The survey shows the continued commitment of the Irish Government to keep the tax and social welfare costs down and hence keep the costs of employment down. However, Ireland continues to be exposed to pressures from eastern Europe where employment costs are still relatively low. As those economies gather pace and start to compete more effectively for international mobile investment, Ireland will be at a considerable disadvantage. While it is unrealistic to expect Ireland to be able to close the gap in remuneration levels, the challenge for Ireland Inc is to effectively promote the added value that Ireland has to offer through its location, other taxation measures and experienced workforce so that it continues to attract sustainable investment to ensure its economic growth.”
- Pat Cullen, Deloitte Tax Partner

A new survey by Deloitte of employee remuneration costs in enterprises with 10 or more employees shows a wide divergence in average remuneration levels and social security costs in 24 of the 25 EU member states. In the survey, we can see that Lithuania has the lowest proportion of the remuneration costs at just EUR 5,100. Estonia and also Slovenia are not very far behind. The level of remuneration's cost proportion stands at EUR 9,216 and EUR 9,264. These figures consideranly increased since 2005. In Estonia, the remuneration costs increased by 23,4 percent while in Slovenia the level of the remuneration costs also increased by little more than 10 percent.




Ireland was ranked 15th out of 24 countries taken under consideration. The average level of the remuneration costs was EUR 36,852. Compared to 2005, the whole cost level increased by 5,3 percent. There is also another very positive aspect in Ireland's case. On average, the total cost of employment did not increase while total tax burden on employee has shrinked by EUR 530. In comparing relative changes in the position of the countries, Ireland still has the lowest cost tax and insurance costs measured as a proportion of the total remuneration paid. Ireland thus continues to have the lowest level at 6,34 percent, Cyprus is in second place with total cost proportion at 8,77 percent. This clearly confirms that Ireland has one a favorable tax climate for employees.


When it comes to comparing employer's social insurance costs measured as the percentage of the total remuneration, Ireland is in 5th position while, surprisingly, Denmark is in 1st position with the lowest percentage at 1,36 percent. Ireland, at 9,71 percent is just behind Cyprus, Malta and the UK which percentages approximately equal 9,1 percent. There is also a significant impact of tax friendly legislation, coded upon stimultaneously low tax rates on corporate and individual income, on economic growth and tax revenue flow. According to international comparisions. statistical brief shows that in the past decade tax revenues soured as economic growth has started skyrocketing. This particular kind of behavior valiantly denies arguments of those who oppose reduction in corporate and personal income tax rates.

Comparing the combined costs of tax and employee and employer social insurance costs with the total cost of employment, Ireland is found to have the lowest overall percentage costs. Despite being a marginal advantage, the gap between Ireland and Cyprus has increased to 1,44 percent. Malta and Luxembourg continue to occupy third places respectively.

Sunday, December 24, 2006

ARE YOU A LIBERTARIAN ECONOMIST?

Below you can find a test in which there are 10 different questions and two different answers referring to each question. There is also a number of points beside possible answers. And there is also the analysis below. There are three different categories giving a description wheater you are a classical liberal (libertarian) or not. Calculate the amount of points achieved and see where you stand?

P.S.: Questions are divided into two parts. The first part examines questions connected with the level of tolerance of economic freedom while the second part of the group of questions examines the level of tolerance of personal, civil and political liberties. And don't be afraid of the title, even if you're not an economist, it is highly desirable to take this.

Question No.1;
Consider an economy in transition where 35 percent of the economy is still in the hands of the government. The election period arrived and the libertarian party surprisingly won the elections. Among the very first reform proposals is the privatization of the financial sector, including the insurance and banking sector. The Minister of Finance suggests that foreign strategic partners are according to the observations and recent studies the most suitable option for the recovery of the financial sector of the economy. But there is also a strong presence of interest groups and falsified intellectuals with strong media influence who fanatically oppose the privatization. The Minister of Finance and the Prime Minister continue the process of privatization despite enormous pressures from various interest groups. Have they gone into the right direction?

(a) YES [2 points] (b) NO [0 points]


Question No.2;
In the next step, the government intends to reform the labor market in the way of greater flexibility in order to cut the tax burden which hampers the economy. The newest reform proposal by the government includes easier, faster and cheaper hiring and firing of workers. The most striking ingredient of the reform is the abolishment of collective bargaining between the federation of employers and labor unions so that labor market is given a full degree of liberty. There is also no more legislative protection of trade unions and employer federation. And there is also a reform proposal which is going in the line of labor market's internationalization. Of course, trade unions strongly reject the reform proposal. They even promise to trigger strikes on the street. Shall a government ignore the pressures and reform the labor market?

(a) YES [2 points] (b) NO [0 points]


Question No.3;
Consider an economy in which the competition in health care sector is heavily limited. The government continues imposing liberal economic reforms. In this case, the government plans to cut licensing proceedures and allow private competitors to challenge services offered by a public health-care. In the next step, the government will do the best of its ability to privatize health care colleges and make them more flexible through the elimination or enrollment restrictions. It will also privatize a majority of subsidized health care services through which individuals contribute premiums for health-care services through voluntary free exchange insurance contracts. And finally, the government plans to abolish monopolized pharmacy chamber which currently holds monopoly on drug supply and licensing procedures thereof. It intends to liberalize the drug market completely by letting private pharmacies enter the market. Of course, interest groups in health-care sector strongly oppose to this particular proposal. But the government doesn't allow them to tolerate their special interests isolated from the market. Is the government going in the right direction?

(a) YES [2 points] (b) NO [0 points]


Question No.4;
There is a sudden price increase on the market. The price of the most frequently consumed automobile gas has increased significantly but it has been predicted that the price will soon settle back to the cooling of global gas markets, currently facing a supply shortage but a heavily increased demand particular on Chinese and Indian side. The government is suddenly afraid of the situation and intends to buy a majority of shares in the biggest oil supplier of the country in order to be able to impose price controls through robust and discretionary decision making. According to your opinion, is the government going in the right direction?

(a) YES [0 points] (b) NO [2 points]


Question No.5;
Assume an economy in which the inflation rate is currently 6 percent and the monetary policy is highly discretionary. Exchange rate regime is not flexible but used as a tool on which the monetary policy of the central bank is based. There is no free floating exchange rate regime, the government is neither planning to change it in order to ensure long-term monetary stabilization; Comparatively high level of inflation rate is a strong threat to the monetary progress of this economy. An advisory board, i.e. the council of economic advisers, suggests shifting to free floating exchange rate regime. It also sends government an appeal to stop directly supporting export companies through discretionary exchange rate fluctuations as a means of indirect subsidy to companies. The advisory board also warns the government about the rapid rate of monetary aggregates without the consideration of "money supply rule". The growth of quantity of money in circulation exceeds the growth of the GDP for three times. The advisory board also sets a proposal of inflation targeting regime through which the policy of inflation targeting is publicly announced and set as an objective. Did the advisory board give government a flexible set of solutions in order to curb the inflation?

(a) YES [2 points] (b) NO [0 points]

Question No.6;
Marihuana and other soft drugs should be immediately legalized.
(a) Agree [2 points] (b) Disagree [o points]

Question No.7;
Prostitution should be made legal and there should be no restrictions on this kind of market activity.
(a) Agree [2 points] (b) Disagree [0 points]

Question No.8;
Abortion should not be a matter of free determination without the interference of the government. Hence, abortion should be punished and made illegal while women, if abort the child, should be sentenced.
(a) Agree [0 points] (b) Disagree [2 points]

Question No.9;
People from other countries, from all around the world, should be given an opportunity to come to Slovenia and live here if they want and thus we let a "melting pot" society to live. Hence, English should be made the first language together with Slovene to enjoy equal status. Slovenia should be promoted as a friendly land for foreigners from all around the globe.
(a) Agree [2 points] (b) Disagree [0 points]

Question No.10;
The government should simply legalize the homosexual relationship. We don't need a separate treatment of marriage. Hence, the homosexuals should be allowed to adopt children while they should not be treated separately from other citizens since living your own life and making your own decisions is inalienable and nobody has a right to intervene individual lives.
(a) Agree [2 points] (b) Disagree [0 points]


Criteria:
20 points
Congratulations! You have confirmed yourself as a truly classical liberal economist and libertarian-minded individual.

19-16 points
Well done! You mostly support liberal ("laissez faire") economic and social policy while you still have doubts on several issues involving personal or economic point of view.

16-0 points
You still have to work hard on letting libertarian economic and personal paradigm come to your mind. You're either too conservative or too leftist to be noted a libertarian. You seem to dislike "laissez-faire" economic policy or liberal attitudes towards individual liberty. However, sorry but you currently cannot be labelled a "classical liberal", i.e. libertarian.

I hope you enjoyed taking this test.
*Merry Christmas!

ON CONSENSUS

Consensus is, to me, similar to abolishing nearly all beliefs. Consensus devastates the foundations of our values completely, it shrinks our principles and it eliminates our agenda to the fullest. Therefore, consensus is something what everyone agrees with, but it also an entity in which nobody believes.

PROTECTIONISM - THE INJECTION OF ECONOMIC POISON

William H. Overholt has written an excellent article on how individuals and companies gain gain benefits from the globalization. Generally speaking, the essence of the article is primarily focused on the point of periodic protectionism. Protectionism is indeed causing enormously threatening barriers to countries on a global level. Protectionists are struggling in a direction that would limit the free trade, therefore keeping jobs at home, and imports out of the country. Critiques of the globalization state that the process of globalization at an accelerated pace is promoting inequality at the expense of low-wage workers where corporate managers benefit while they are exploiting the labor force in cheap labor countries such as India, Indonesia and China.

Those who say so, should apologize to the people, for saying untruthful things which leave behind a huge psychological influence since such propaganda is boosted by the ideological manners. But thanks to our common sense, the ideas of the opponents of globalization have no fundamental source of empirical verification for defending their ideas which sound literally insane. Therefore, their defense of anti-capitalism, anti-globalization and anti-Americanism is ideologically-driven, hoping to restore the ideals. But, as Joseph Schumpeter, a distinguished Austrian-American economist of Harvard University once said, if you want to achieve the ideal by force, then you'll have to use lying. Arguments, rational discussion and economically empirical bulk show that their promotion of serfdom is inevitable.

(1) Business owners and entrepreneurs are those individuals who bring their knowledge to certain country. They also bring technology and capital equipment. But the most important thing is that they bring opportunities to thousands to improve their prosperity through the process of growth of knowledge, the improvement of skills as well as through the growth of productivity. Without entrepreneurs and business owners, those children and labor force would probably continue living in misery and poverty. Protectionists, anti-capitalists and anti-americanists suggest that companies who undertake such decisions in cheap labor countries should immediately be punished. What if they start lobbying and what if they succeed in implementing their ideas? If enacted, then Wal-Mart would be forced to leave India and other companies as well would be pushed towards the edge where they were required to remove the production facilities out of the particular country. Will those "critically inspired intellectuals" and the supporters of anti-capitalistic mentality take the share of the responsibility in their own hands? Will they travel to India and apologize to individuals who lost the job? Will they pay him an education, food and basic health-care from their wallet? Will they tour a village where individuals would be living in poverty after they lost the job and say to a young fellow: "Sorry buddy..." It is terrible to listen those ridiculous anti-capitalist intellectuals, groups and other individuals how they feel compassionate with poor people and how their ideas are humane. Frankly, it’s quite the opposite. Their ideas are inhumane and their ideas for example, drove young workers of Bangladesh in the wheel of highly uncertain future in a very negative manner. Since Wal-Mart was forced to remove from Bangladesh, a bulk of individuals, particularly young women, were made prostitutes in order to earn a living. In the period of globalization, millions of individuals were lifted out of poverty; the income level of individuals in those countries grew strongly. For workers, the globalization has meant the opposite of the inequality. The truth about globalization is the opposite of what protectionists speak. It brought opportunities to millions of individuals. It brought them brighter, fuller and richer tomorrow as well as a growing prosperity.

(2) In Slovenia as well as in other European countries and also in the United States, we often hear how workers from low and zero value-added fields of the economy are suffering from globalization. Negative effects of globalization cannot be exaggerated by attributing job losses to competition from India, Indonesia, China and Philippines. We often hear how certain countries are exporting jobs overseas. This is very far from being true. Scholarly economic studies have shown that the reason for cutting jobs mostly in the manufacturing sector is a domestic productivity. Changes in the rate of productivity have transformed the production lines. Technological readiness coupled with know-how resulted in less obvious needs for basic production workers. Instead, the manufacturing sector needs educated individuals, mostly highly profiled graduates whose knowledge and skills stream towards the convergence of productivity. The outcome that follows is the increased level of product competition in a global market arena where the behavior of market actors chooses the best possible option. In order to choose, there is a price competition in the market meanwhile the rapid transformation of production lines firmly streams forward to competitive product prices on the market. Sometimes it took two days to produce a car while today it takes less than a day to build-up the whole car.

(3) Another, more oftenly stressed argument of the protectionists is that job flight to destinations overseas is dishonest and unfair. But they forget to stress the information that both, the U.S. and China, have lost domestic manufacturing jobs because of the increased productivity and that China has lost ten times more manufacturing jobs than the U.S. There are usually two ways to increase people's standard of living. One way is increasing wages and the second one is through cutting prices so that you're able to buy more goods and services at the same amount of money. Protectionists claim that the government should immediately increase prices of goods produced abroad through the imposition of import quotas and tariffs. But isn't the ability to buy inexpensive quality shoes from China and cars imported from Japan, the soundest way to increase the standard of living? Low prices of goods and services explicitly benefit low income workers in Slovenia, Spain, Austria, U.S., or anywhere else. Let's take two different individuals into account. One is high-income earner and the second one is a low-income earner. If the first one buys Cesare Paciotti shoes for $400, he doesn't benefit very much. But if the second person buys shoes for $28 at Wal-Mart, then he benefits greatly. Empirical studies and observations have shown that lower prices due to various product imports from China, increase real incomes of lower income Americans by 5 to 10 percent.

Low prices and trade liberalization with other nations is the surest way towards more prosperity. No welfare programs have ever accomplished not even a fraction as much gains and benefits as free trade and dynamic competition brought up. No politicians, no bureaucrats, no anti-capitalists, no critical intellectuals, no Marxist worshippers, no anti-americanists and no socialists have ever achieved as much as free trade did it in a matter of moments.

(4) Protectionists instantly forget to mention the rate of fresh job creation due to globalization's rapid success. Easier access to foreign direct investment enables many companies from particular countries to expand their sales activities in China, India, Indonesia and Bangladesh and penetrate therein. The ability of Slovenian and Austrian companies to flow their operations in Chinese and Indian market and to compete abroad, immediately creates many high level jobs in the operation sector back in both countries, Slovenia and Austria, with a great measure of dynamics and diversity.

(5) One of the most obvious features of globalization is that open economies adjust to real competitive advantages faster. Unemployment rate in the U.S. has recently peaked at 4,4 percent while the unemployment rate in France along with other highly protected economies jumps much higher because labor dynamics is low as well as because tax burden of the economy is enormous. In such strange and politically arranged conditions, many people are made doing an inappropriate job. To a larger extent, in the most protected economies mostly in Africa and Latin America, the unemployment rate goes double-digitally up to 30 or even more percent. Globalization and the promotion of open trade and migration has lower the unemployment significantly. The globalization itself lifted 3 billion people from non-human condition of life into modern standards of living. Even more, the globalization has brought decent food, modern clothing, life utilities and basic shelters to millions of families.

Mr. William Overholt noted that in the early 1950's the life expectancy rate in China was 41 years while in 2005 the average life expectancy was 72,7 years. This is a huge reduction of inequality that truly has to be admired.

(6) Rapid economic growth in East Asian economies is bringing the greatest inequality reduction in this part of the world ever to be noted. As the result of rapid technological progress and open market economy, upper- as well as lower- middle income countries are growing much faster than advanced economies. In comparison with France or Italy, the average economic growth spread across China, China, Indonesia and Vietnam outscores the average growth rates of European sleepwalkers for more than three times faster.

(7) We often hear complaints from the workers about the pain of change. It is true that the unemployment can wipe out their savings and turn their life into nightmare. Their suffering can't be ignored. But if the policies of protectionists were in charge, the agony of the unemployment would continue to grow and become more difficult and uncomfortable until the point where the worst of the worst would come out. At that time, the effect of the agony would triple itself.

(8) Neither Slovenia, neither any other country will advance if the inequality would be significantly lower at the expense of economic growth, rapid restructuring of firms and if status quo on the labor market remained in action. The use of coercion to achieve equality through welfare will result in higher unemployment rates and lower growth rates while measures introducing free trade, education for those who suffer from globalization, rapid tax cuts, entrepreneurship and market competition, will decrease unemployment and increase economic growth and above all, increase opportunities and this is the surest way to avoid long-term economic stagnation and relative downturn in the future.

Slovenia and other countries will benefit only from competitive free markets. Competition is the agenda with magical power. No welfare programs have ever accomplished not even a fraction as much gains and benefits as free trade and dynamic competition brought up. Slovenian policymakers should rather focus on how to give individuals an opportunity, not a “social subsidy”, to get a decent education so that they will benefit from globalization rather than suffer from the status quo which has been achieved through unions' use of power. The protectionism is indeed an economic poison as Dan Mitchell perfectly points out. In the context of progress and improvement of the standards of living, faster economic growth, entrepreneurship and education opportunities help low income individuals much more than charity and social welfare programs. In fact, charity sounds emotionally appalling and sometimes helps to improve the situation in various forms at various places but in the long-term perspective, charity doesn't solve the problem. Foreign aid programs are a direct gateway to even more corruption while countries and nations depending on foreign aid haven't improved the economic conditions while faster growth has been rare as well as productivity improved only by a little. Other features aiming to support the establishment of entrepreneurship lagged behind the very much needed pace. To come to an end, education opportunities, competitive entrepreneurship and free open trade are a key to unlock the economic miracle among individuals. There is no greater assistance to the poor than simple and transparent flat tax system. Protectionists, critical intellectuals, anti-americanists, anti-capitalists, Marxist worshippers of serfdom and new socialists, harshly oppose to various forms of liberalization not because they necessarily disagreed on them, but because those measure, if enacted, would banish their ideas and so they would become unimportant and the most important thing is that they would not have people to manipulate with anymore.

Thursday, December 21, 2006

NORDIC MODELS - ADMIRE THE BEST BUT FORGET THE REST

The latest Economist's comment perfectly reveals the traps being hidden behind the myth of the Scandinavian models. However, it becomes unclear when various politicians around the globe tackle their rethorics and agendas under the attachment of a "single" Scandinavian model. We have written ostensibly on the point of problems which particular Nordic countries are now facing. The latest statistics shows that Sweden's GDP per person measured as a percentage of the OECD average is rapidly falling beyond historically achieved levels. Prior to 1950, Swedish GDP per person equaled 120 percent of the OECD level while in 1993 the level of the GDP per head was only 90 percent of the OECD level. It may take years for Sweden to recover from this particular loophole. Another striking information is that not even a single job in the private sector has been created since 1950. Statistical data and also observations written by Steffan Karlsson, Johnny Munkhammar and Johan Norberg confirm that. The so called "Swedish social model" may soon colapse because of the ageing population. Exactly 33 percent of the GDP is contributed to social welfare programs in Sweden and this number is significantly above the European average, not to mention the average of other countries around the globe. Technological sector and research and development activities are strongly supported as the whell of economic growth turns forward. In contrast to Continental countries, policy-makers in Sweden, Denmark, Finland, Norway and Iceland are running a disciplined public financial policy of budget surpluses. And since budget pressures are minimized or perhaps even eliminated, the outlays for social welfare benefits become much more sustainable than in the Continental European economies. Swedish economy grew at an annual rate of 5,6 percent in 2006. This was enough for the central bank to trigger interest rates in order to cool the economy and to increase the price of borrowing. Bigger Swedish companies have been breaking export records. In truth, golden age of Swedish economy has gone. Between 1870 and 1950, average growth in Swedish GDP and productivity was by some measures the strongest in the world. For most of the last 50 years, this miracle changed into the relative decline including a deep recession in the 1990s. There is also a heavily regulated labor market. While government employment has grown largely, private sector employment declined throughout the last 50 years. Despite the vast size of the government, the efficiency of public-sector input is less than 0,6 (1,0 = max) which means that the input of Swedish public sector is 40 percent lower than the input of the public sector in the United States.

An interesting definition of the Scandinavian model was given by one of the fewest Swedish reformers, namely Carl Bildt. According to Mr. Bildt, the recipe for the perfect Nordic model includes the following ingredients; Finland's education system, Danish labor market, Estonian tax system, Iceland's entrepreneurship, Sweden's management of big companies and Norwegian oil. These are honorably admired Nordic features while a bulk of social-welfare measures should be immediately forgotten no matter which country or a group of countries wants to look northward to pursue the Nordic economic and social policy. I recommend them not to copy the Nordic "welfare" experiment on a permanent basis. It will cost them too much.

Sunday, December 17, 2006

REFORM OR DIE

A recent study by the IMF argued that, if France implemented the structural reforms it has promised, this would raise its national income by around 10% (compared with doing nothing). But if everybody in the euro area did the same, French incomes would rise by 14%.

Tuesday, December 12, 2006

SLOVAKIA - MONACO UPON DANUBE

"I am in favor of cutting taxes under any circumstances and for any excuse, for any reason, whenever it's possible. The reason I am is because I believe the big problem is not taxes, the big problem is spending. The question is, how do you hold down government spending? Government spending now amounts close to 40% of national income not counting indirect spending through regulation and the like. If you include that, you get up to roughly half. The real danger we face is that number will creep up and up and up. The only effective way I think to hold it down, is to hold down the amount of income the government has. The way to do that is to cut taxes. "
- Milton Friedman

Roughly a decade ago,
Slovakia could be described in the following words. According to a vast majority of economic indicators, Slovakia was on the edge of existence and macroeconomic stability among the nations in transit. It was governed by Vladimir Meciar, an iron-fist nationalist dictator, and by the post-communist coalition. This coalition isolated Slovakia from the international community politically as well as economically. This enormously devastating stituation came to conclusion when Madleine Albright regarded Slovakia as the black hole in the heart of Europe
. After the independence, Slovakian GDP cumulatively fell by 24,7 percent (Fisher, Saray 2000) taking into account the level of Slovakian GDP before the shift to transition began (1989 = 100). The program of macroeconomic and monetary stabilization lacked behind the very much needed pace. Until 1998, the inflow of foreign direct investment was the lowest among transition countries (Damijan, Polanec 2003). As a matter of fact, the household rate of internet connections was constantly below 15 percent (Eurostat, 2001) which the lowest internet connection rate among households in the entire European Union.

At this state of misery, a new Slovakian Prime Minister Mikulas Dzurinda began his mandate with a bulk of economic reforms which included the education reform, health sector reform, tax reform, social security reform, labor market reform as well as the entire reconstruction of public administration. A youthful team of reformers included experts who graduated from Harvard,
Princeton and Stanford. Martin Bruncko, one of the foremost reformers, received an honorable reward from Harvard University for his thesis on the implications of the flat tax. As a result of fast, seriously and transparently imposed economic reforms, the Slovakian economy skyrocketed. In 2003, economic growth rate peaked at 4,2 percent, in 2004 it equaled 4,9 percent and in 2005 it reached its peak at an incredible 5,6 percent. In that year, Slovakian economy was the third fastest growing tiger in Europe (OECD, Economic Outlook, 2005). In 2006 OECD estimated the annual economic growth rate of Slovakia at 6,2 percent. In 2004, Slovakia adopted a single flat tax on both personal and corporate income. This easy, simple and pro-growth system replaced the previous one which included five different tax rates, ranging up to 38 percent. After the first package of tax reforms was introduced in 2003, tax burden rapidly decreased to 13,7 percent so that economic analysits from OECD noted Slovakia as "tax heaven of Europe". Giving the economy very much needed boost, the unemployment declined sharply. It went from 20 percent in 2001 to 15 percent in 2004 and 11 percent in 2005. As a result of radical and unabating structural reforms, the quality of business environment improved dramatically. Foreign direct investment (FDI), one of the most powerful engines of economic growth, grew robustly. Automobile industry found a bulk of incentives in Slovakia. Equipped with low labor costs, shining geographical location and incredible opportunities offered stimultaneously, Slovakia became a host for automobile enterprises such as Volkswagen, Pegueot, Citroen and KIA Motors. The latter will start pushing its production in a small town of Zilina
in the North of Slovakia. On the other, a stimultaneous tax system and a flexible labor market did very much to attract foreign direct investment from the automobile sector. Increased volumes of capital inflows are a result of stimulating business climate which banished restrictions on ownership participation so that only minimal restraints remain in action.

"The country's low-cost yet skilled labor force, low taxes, liberal labor code and favorable geographic location have helped it become one of Europe's favorite investment markets."
-
US Department of Commerce


According to numerous reports,
Slovakia
is the leading innovator in making investment climate furtherly favorable. Minimal barriers to capital transaction also present an important feature by which Slovakian policymakers let the system of business and capital transactions running freely, without burdensome restrictions and bureaucratic regulation.

A group of youthful and enthusiastic economists under the leadership of Ivan Miklos was aware of the importance of the privatization of banking and financial sector. Previously restricted financial system under the possession of the government did not offer credible enhancement mechanisms to entrepreneurs and individuals. A quick, transparent and relatively fast privatization of almost entire financial sector included the undergoing series of structural changes, financially weak banks were eliminated and three largest state-owned banks were immediately privatized. Today, the financial sector consists of 18 commercial banks and three largest banks are 100 percent under the ownership of foreign investors. Interest rates were liberalized without the preliminary enforcment of Maastricht conditions (within ER mechanism) needed for a country if it wants to enter the European Monetary Union as well as credit condtions were reset and credit limits eliminated. Slovakian financial sector is small but far most efficient than most of
Slovakia's counterparts. Financial system offers incredible opportunities to foreign and domestic investors, there're numerous investment incentives which stimulate investors to rely on pro-market behavior. On the other side, financial sector in Slovakia had been reformed to change its behavior in order to transform it into pro-growth pillar of stimulations to businesses and individuals. The dynamics of the financial sector also applies to the business investment climate which is known after its transparency, tax and entrepreneurially-friendly attitudes (Heritage, 2006) and non-discriminatory treatment of investors regardless of their national origin. World Bank (2006) named Slovakia the top reformer in improving the climate of its investment environment. As to another importatn characteristic of the banking sector, credit limits are among the least restrictive in Europe
(IMF, 2005).

In 2003, Slovakian government undertook serious steps in reforming a very rigid labor market. Renovated Comprehensive Labor Code was legislated. It allowed greater flexibility at hiring and firing workers. The flexibility of labor market essentially contributed to the Slovakian shift to freer economy (CATO, 2003). The labor market is among the least regulated in
Europe
. In 2004 the costs of labor per unit of GDP equaled 0,2 percent.

Slovakia also has incredibly transparent, pro-choice and activity-based pension system. Many analysts from Ernst&Young and Dun&Bradstreet are putting Slovakian transparent and long-term sustainable pension system as an example to Western governments in France, Germany and Italy. New system enables more free choice. The individuals can therefore choose between the old 'pay-as-you-go' system and new system which is based upon individual contributions to personal (private) retirement accounts. Individuals can also put their away in various investment and private funds in order to keep their money safe from political expropriation. Current social security contribution rate is equal to 29 percent of the gross salary. 9 percent of this amount goes to the old system while 9 percent goes to the new system. This particular ratio also covers other types of insurances. More than 50 percent of all contributions is invested in various private investment funds which yields a lot more than the old system and also offers incredible opportunities to control long-term and short-term risk. Thus 8,5 billion SKK is saved in 8 various investment funds. Their job is the management of pension savings. There are numerous opportunities let to individuals. Every investment fund consists of 3 additional funds - growth fund, balance fund and conservative fund. 80 percent of all portfolio growth funds can be constructed in exactly the same way as asset management funds. Younger individuals can choose between all 3 funds while older generations can vary between balance fund and conservative fund. Businesses whose mission is the management of pension savings can accomplish their investment anywhere abroad but 30 percent of all investments is required to be based in Slovakia
. Pension reform was enforced quickly, within the period of one year. Personal retirment accounts (PRA), where individuals and businesses can put their savings, have two increasingly important characteristics - (i) they don't violate the principle of private property and (ii) they are safe from political abuse (Tupy, 2006).

According to international research studies,
Slovakia
undertook pro-growth steps to make macroeconomic stabily sounder and business environment less wedged. For example, there are minimal barriers to the process of company registration. It only takes 3 steps to register the company which means 17 days until the company is established and ready to operate. The costs of establishing the company amount 0,1 percent of total property value (WB, Doing Business 2006).

Slovakia passed a long period of economic changed. From financially devastated economy, it stepped at the top of economic miracles under the leadership of Mikulas Dzurinda and Ivan Miklos. A group of serious economists and reformers, including Ivan Miklos and Martin Bruncko, made Slovakia the first serious reformist country in Eastern Europe after Estonia. In 2006, the World Bank ranked Slovakia among top 20 countries with the most business-friendly investment environment and entrepreneurial climate. There had been a particular emphasis on undertaking economic reforms in order to stimulate productive behavior which was generated by pro-growth tax legislation embodied in the imposition of the flat tax of 19 percent on both personal and corporate income. This particular type of tax system is far away from being complicated. It is far more efficient, transparent and pro-growth. The flat tax replaced the old system which was known after its enormously grown progressivity, ranging from 16 to 35 percent. According to analytical studies, tax reform stimulated the growth of the economy. It also improved the investment climate and removed heavy burden which had been caused through highly progressive system of income taxation. Tax reform resulted in both, greater freedom and greater equality. According to some econometric estimate, structural reform of the tax system empowered the economy which resulted in 2,5 percent increase of the economic growth on the annual basis. In the past period, Slovakia had significantly improved the state of macroeconomic stability. In fact, Slovakia was the foremost macroeconomic reformer in the region (see: Macroeconomic Environment Index). In 2004, the country scaled up and came among 50 most transparent, firm and efficient macroeconomic environments (WEF Global Competitiveness Report 2004, McKinsey&Company 2004).

The privatization of government enterprises and state assets was fast, non-troubled and transparent. In 2001, Austrian Erste Bank and Italian Banca Intesa acquisted the package of governmental stakes in the following banks; Slovensky Sportelna and VUB Banka. In 2002, the government sold the stakes of gas distrubtion company Slovensky Plynarenski Priemysel to EDF, RWE and Ruhrgas. The infrastructural change was accompanied together with rapid economic transformation (IMD, 2006).

The main features of labor market reform had been the shift towards greater flexibility of labor market itself. This particular objective was reached through (a) more flexible labor contracts, (b) stimulating working extra-hours and (c) less complicated hiring and firing of workers. According to data from TREND, approximately 80 000 graduates left
Slovakia
between 1994 and 2002 which equals nearly 7000 to 10 000 graduates a year. The so-called "brain-drain" effects reflect in 0,6 percent decrease in annual economic growth (McKinsey&Company, 2005).

Ivan Miklos and the group of economic reforms were the first serious signs of economic change in
Central Europe. Ther willingness to impose a bulk of structural reforms did not decrease even though trade unions and other signals of neosocialism furiously opposed economic reforms and refused the need to let the economy grow and make economic change happen. Today Slovakia is known as the European Detroit with a 19 percent flat tax rate on boh personal and corporate income which embodies all of the requirements for the country to become tax heavens. Foreign direct investment presented 18,4 percent of the GDP in 2000. In 2004 the amount of foreign direct investment presented incredible 35,3 percent of the GDP. In 2005 and 2006 the growth of Greenfield foreign direct investment showed positive signs of further investment growth. After the country enacted the flat tax in 2004, it joined the club of those economic miracles in Eastern Europe
who showed enough courage to enact the flat tax and thus insured them against possible economic downturn in the future. The phenomenon of eastern European tigers is coined as the flat tax revolution.

The efficiency of government policies increased dramatically under the mandated leadership of Mikulas Dzurinda and Ivan Miklos. In World Competitiveness Ranking of the IMD in 2006, Slovakian government was ranked 17th according to the factor of efficiency. In 2005, tax burden measured as the percentage of the GDP was among the lowest in the OECD group of countries. Tax burden did not reached 30 percent of the GDP. Government spending decreased from 50,5 percent of the GNP in 2002 to 40,5 percent of the GNP in 2004. However, some forecasts have been made and show continually-adjusted signs of decreasing governmental consumption. Between 2000 and 2005, only
Ireland, Estonia, Lithuania and Latvia had had higher rates of economic growth. Through the period of liberal economic reforms, the size of the budget deficit reduced from -13 percent to -3 percent. The latest research called Tax Misery & Index confirmed the simplicty of the tax system and its pro-growth nature. If you are a taxpayer working in Slovakia who earns 50 000 € gross annually, social security contributions transferred from your income will be equal to 1 736 €, 8 033 € will be taken away through the payment of an income tax. After other minimal obligatory contributions are taken into account, your net income will be equal to 40 231 € or 80,46 percent of the gross income. In Slovenia
, your net income would present only 55 percent of the gross income (50 000 €). Social security contributions would be equal to 10 050 €, personal income tax would be equal to 11 323 €, so that only 27 627 € remained left (see: Tax Misery & Reform Index, Forbes).

However, the whole picture of Slovakian economy is far from being an ideal fairytale. Several challenges are still to come ahead. A bulk of incentives in order to energize the economy has been recommended by McKinsey&Company. It recommends the following advice:

"As first,
Slovakia should face the problem of corruption and persistent inefficiency of the judicial system. The protection of private property rights should be enhanced immediately. The government should continue improving the infrastructure while it must avoid burdensome regulation of product markets. The liberalization of health-care sector and social security system should continue. Fighting against corruption will improved the efficiency of the judicial branch of government. Slovakia should avoid minimum wages and keep the labor market flexible. The government needs to furtherly privatize the rest of the its stakes in state enterprises whereas the elimination of various forms of ownership restrictions is vastly needed as well. The government should put more efforts to reduce the burden of bureaucracy. Those barriers reduce the dynamics of enterpreneurial prosperity. The government should not hesitate in making efforts to reduce brain-drain outflows. That is the way upon which economic growth will get very much needed boost. After a series of features stated above is to be enacted, Slovakia
economy will have more opportunities and engines to be a competitive country with high rates of economic growth and sufficient climate of the entrepreneurial environment."

Source: McKinsey&Company Report on Slovakia
(translated by Rok Spruk)

Economic reforms undertaken by Ivan Miklos and other younthful and enthusiastic group of economists made
Slovakia one of the friendliest places for portfolio and direct foreign investors. The tax system was redesigned completely and became one of the most competitive ones in the world. In many recent surveys, Slovakia was recognized as the most entrepreneurially innovative country in the region. The level of entrepreneurial innovation is stimulated through low taxes, lower regulation and lower rate of government spending. The government under the leadership of Mikulas Dzurinda was attacked by the trade unions and other rent-seeking interest groups. Those groups penetrated the media and sent waves of illusionary fears against the process of economic change. We especially admire the fact that the bulk of measure to increase economic freedom and let the passage of transition become a success story, was never in question of political popularity of the government. During the period of economic reforms, the rate of political popularity of the government fell below 5 percent. Ivan Miklos told that the imposition of reforms is very costly. Opposition parties are doing propaganda, people are not satisfied, and trade unions fear others while the results of economic reforms come later.

At the following elections, Slovakian voter chose extreme leftists to be in charge of the country. Those parties even formed coalition with the party whose leader is former dictator of Slovakia Vladimir Meciar. With the election of leftists, right-wing extremists and nationalists, Slovakian economic freedom is about to be in danger. However, the people of
Slovakia will soon feel the devastating impact of leftist government. It will surely be a colateral damage which puts the long-term competitiveness of Slovakia in a very fragile position.

ON COURAGE AND SUCCESS

"It is not the critic who counts: not the man who points out how the strong man stumbles or where the doer of deeds could have done better. The credit belongs to the man who is actually in the arena, whose face is marred by dust and sweat and blood, who strives valiantly, who errs and comes up short again and again, because there is no effort without error or shortcoming, but who knows the great enthusiasms, the great devotions, who spends himself for a worthy cause; who, at the best, knows, in the end, the triumph of high achievement, and who, at the worst, if he fails, at least he fails while daring greatly, so that his place shall never be with those cold and timid souls who knew neither victory nor defeat."

Teddy Roosevelt

Thursday, December 07, 2006

THE PHILOSOPHY OF LIBERTY IS BASED ON THE PRINCIPLE OF SELF-OWNERSHIP

Click here and watch the movie which reveals the core of the philosophy of human freedom as well as it shows how the responsibility of the members in a free and competitive society is vitally important to go towards the free society itself.

Tuesday, December 05, 2006

ECONOMIC EDUCATION AND FREE CHOICE - A KEY TO UNLOCK THE ECONOMIC MIRACLE

I recently noticed the latest hotspots on the market concerning increasingly important targets of economic education. According to IMD Scoreboard from 2003, pupils from elementary and secondary schools in many different countries failed to reach the edge of basic financial and economic literacy. The country where I come from, namely Slovenia fell below 50th place on the rank of economic and financial literacy.

It is very interesting to see that predominantly genetically anti-capitalistic and genetically socialistic youth is very much eager to protest against any kind of particular economic reforms. Europe is the most obvious place to see such protests. The main source of objection to free-market economy and personal responsibility mainly comes from the environments in which the awareness of economic problems is very weak. In Slovenia and France, students even emerged as an interest group, a compassionate rent-seeker. This significant situation is partly the result of weak and unstable institutions permitting non-market behavior to be undertaken through the special status of treating students as a separate group which “shall not take market rules of the game into account.”

The effect is, of course, disastrous. Because of specially given status, students do not want to undertake productive behavior (work, save and invest) after they finish the study. Instead, they rather focus on how to maintain their current status because if they entered the market, the rules of the game would become very different. Students are also having a serious intention of becoming a strong political power. In this case, the quality of future graduates rapidly falls below the very much needed pace.

On the other hand, students who are not willing to finish the study are manipulating with their insane ideas about “socially just society” That’s the way how rent-seeking students in Slovenia brainwash younger schoolboys and schoolgirls. Instead of focusing how to grab the opportunities and make them come true, they are rather engaged in various forms of protests, being totally unaware of economic problems. In essence, this is a short summary telling how youngsters become anti-capitalistically inspired fanatical fighters in the framework of neosocialist ideology. This inevitably produces a long-run deficit of human capital in the economy. The shift from know-how to political engagement in terms of detecting economic reforms to be enforced is also the primary reason why youngsters become anti-capitalistic. And when they resist the market economy, they become economically as well as financially illiterate. Below you can find two efficient methods to avoid being economically and financially illiterate;

1. FREE TO CHOOSE is from now on available online. You can watch all ten parts of the television series on your personal computer. Both versions are easily available. Parents, this television series is a very useful tool for educating your children about the fundamentals of free market economy.

2. INTELLECTUAL SERIES PORTRAITS; in this audio collection of conversations with distinguished economists Nobel laureates are available to be listened. You can the interview with Ljubo Sirc, Milton Friedman, Friedrich August von Hayek, James Buchanan, Ronald Coase, Lord Harris, Israel Kirzner, Sir Adam Walters and others.

I wish you a joyful listening of conversations and watching of the series.

And remember, there’s no liberty without economic liberty. Without it, even political, personal and civil liberties cannot exist. When Arnold Schwarzenegger came to America, he had no money in his pocket, but he had a freedom to get it. Being free to choose means being free to make your own decisions, free to pursue your own goals and free to turn your potentials into good business.

Friday, December 01, 2006

BUSINESS COMPETITIVENESS IS THE MAIN INGREDIENT OF LONG-TERM PROSPERITY

The U.S. and Germany remain at the top of the business environment competitiveness while China continually slips down and India ascends. In addition to ranking countries by overall competitiveness, the report identifies national competitive strengths and weaknesses, highlights global economic trends, and signals the ingredients of successful economic development. The Index is part of the research contributing to The Global Competitiveness Report 2006-2007, released September 26 by the World Economic Forum.

The U.S. topped at six various level of measuring business competitiveness respectively. It scored high on business environment dynamics, financial markets sophistication as well as on innovative capacity. On the other side, while Germany gained from the quality of legal and partly regulatory framework. It benefited from its orientation on exports and also from the competitive position of German companies in the global markets.

Rounding out top 10, were Finland, Denmark, Switzerland, Netherlands, Denmark, United Kingdom, Hong Kong and SAR. It's been a striking surprise that Hong Kong improved its position by seven. The main area of improvement has been Hong Kong's moving direction in making management education an increasingly important factor of moving towards the rounding up of competitiveness of this small Asian tiger. France, Czech Republic and Cyprus decline partly due to the lack of innovative capacity. France, for example, suffers very much from the rigid labor market, financial markets signalized no notable improvement. China slipped sports to 64th place. This year's lack in this particular area of general and detailed competitiveness was engined by a very high rate of corruption. In release, Transparency International noted China's spreading corruption as on of the foremost concerns. Buyer assessment was weaker and labor rigidies amounted a huge burden as well. China is also known as an environment in which weak private property protection remains one of the biggest obstacles when it comes to improve China's competitiveness position in the global context. The inability of companies to face the upcoming competitive challenges is mainly driven by an inefficient board governance and low management education. Chinese management schools are still more or less politically instilled while according to various reports (Forbes, McKinsey, AT Kearney, Harvard Institute of Strategy for Competitiveness...) the improvement and innovation in management education lacks behind the very much needed pace. In the future, we can expect a decent moderation on China's euphoria in response to its decline in competitiveness index respectively. That's how China's nominal convergence of competitiveness as well as its real position in it, will become more apparent.

On the other side India surprised nearly every economist and research analyist. Somehow, we have diagnosed India's increase in the field of competitiveness score since Indian government has undertaken some serious steps towards the improvement of legal and regulatory framework for companies. Indian companies have become more sophisticated. The conditions on financial markets are still not efficient enough but the increasing level of country's openness and willingness to liberalize the framework for Foreign Direct Investors could, on the long-run, play a pivotial role as one of the greatest measures of country's global position. The recent announcement of Wal Mart to penetrate into Indian retail market, shows that India's comparative advantages (comparably cheap labor and a large market gap for sophistication) dynamically coexist with the improvment in previously stated regulatory and legal framework liberalization. Dozens of other variables increase India's competition itself. There's an ever increasing locally intensive competition, intellectual property is becoming stronger, per capita Internet use and phone calls is growing, and financial market's are slowly getting more sophisticated but this is only a temporary sign of improvement. To make it effective, policy-makers will have to focus on continually announced reduction of state ownership of insurance companies, banks and financial intermediaries. Generally speaking it is admirable that private sector is getting a stronger role within the financial markets. There're also several ingredients to ensure long-term, sustainable economic growth. Institutional stability is very much needed, privatization required, sound macroeconomic policies urgent and the promotion of market openness highly desirable.

However, those measures are still not sufficient enough for a long-term prosperity. The reduction of regulation of business sector is urgent to let firms compete, grow and sustain themselves, FDI measures should be the same as for domestic investors. High tax burden should be put down as income and corporate tax rates were cut. Freedom of the trade should be enforced immediately. Standards and qualifications, confusing bureaucracy and conditional restrictions limit the very much needed imports. Banking reform delays behind the pace required for long-term prosperity of businesses and individuals. Current state-owned bank accounts form more 70 percent of deposits and loans. Private banks represent 17 percent of the entire market activity, while foreign banks accounts, situated in metropolitan areas , account for more than approximately 13 percent of market activities. The explicit protection of governmentally enhenced banks, seen in making limits to foreign enterers, is harmful. The Central Bank is still putting pressure on commercial banks to offer low interest on loans to "priority sectors" such as agriculture and small companies an similar areas. Microeconomic activities account 80 percent of the GDP per capita across countries, while the aim of macroeconomic policy must be committed to officially announced inflation-targeting regime of the central bank, public debt pay-off and budget efficiency balance. There's still many gaps upon which India can easily switch to creating long-term framework for economic prosperity and for the international competitiveness as well. In fact, the latter is the main indicator of country's prosperity.

Macroeconomic factors should improve the quality of business environment while microeconomic activity must be committed to productivity and competitiveness among firms.

If anyone is interested, we can make discuss this issue on my blog.


Furtherly recommended readings:
- The Global Competitiveness Report 2006-2007: Interviews
- Harvard Business School's Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness; Global Competitiveness Report
- The Global Competitiveness Report 2006-2007
- Harvard Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness
- U.S. Tops Business Competitiveness Index 2006
- Porter's Perspective; Competing in Global Economy