Thursday, June 29, 2006

THERE'S NOTHING WRONG WITH A TRADE DEFICIT

Read Alan Reynolds's effective explanation which correctly points out that trade deficits are a sign of economic strength, since it means that a nation gas a growing economy and that foreigners find it a good place to invest.

"The Economist's survey of world forecasters estimates the current account deficit will reach 7.3 percent of GDP in Spain this year and 5.6 percent of GDP in Australia. I think the U.S. current account deficit will be about 6.5 percent, the flip side of which means that 6.5 percent of GDP measures the difference between foreign investment rushing into the United States minus the amount of U.S. investment flowing abroad. We have a large capital surplus, otherwise known as a current account deficit.
What do countries with large capital account surpluses have in common? Economic growth over the past year was 3.1 percent in Australia, 3.5 percent in Spain and 3.6 percent in the United States. The expected current account deficit is smaller in the United Kingdom (2.7 percent), yet British economic growth is also slower (2.2 percent). India's current account deficit is running about 2.5 percent of GDP. By contrast, Germany has a perpetual current account surplus and a pathetic economic growth rate that has long been stuck close to 1 percent..."


Read more on Market Center Blog at CENTER FOR FREEDOM AND PROSPERITY

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